Comparison of Water Flows in Four European Lagoon Catchments under a Set of Future Climate Scenarios

Climate change is supposed to remarkably affect the water resources of coastal lagoons as they are highly vulnerable to changes occurring at their catchment and/or ocean or sea boundaries. Probable impacts of projected climate changes on catchment hydrology and freshwater input were assessed using the eco-hydrological model SWIM (Soil and Water Integrated Model) for the drainage areas of four European lagoons: Ria de Aveiro (Portugal), Mar Menor (Spain), Tyligulskyi Liman (Ukraine) and Vistula Lagoon (Poland/Russia) under a set of 15 climate scenarios covering the time period until the year 2100. Climate change signals for all regions show continuously increasing trends in temperature, but various trends in precipitation. Precipitation is projected to decrease in two catchments on the Iberian Peninsula and increase in the Baltic region catchment, and does not show a clear trend in the catchment located near the Black Sea. The average projected changes in freshwater inputs reflect these changes in climate conditions, but often show variability between the scenarios, in future periods, and within the catchments. According to the individual degrees of water management influences in the four drainage basins, the climate sensitivity of river inflows is differently pronounced in each.

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Hesse C. Stefanova A. y Krysanova V. Comparison of Water Flows in Four European Lagoon Catchments under a Set of Future Climate Scenarios. MDPI, 2015. https://doi.org/10.3390/w7020716

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Retrieved: 09 Nov 2025 14:18:21
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Resource type Article
Date of creation 2024-11-05
Date of last revision 2024-11-05
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Metadata identifier 78dcfd7b-bf33-5bbe-a2f0-e1282fb6ad16
Metadata language Spanish
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High-value dataset category Earth observation and environment
ISO 19115 topic category biota
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Name of the dataset creator Hesse, C., Stefanova, A. y Krysanova, V.
Name of the dataset editor MDPI
Other identifier DOI: 10.3390/w7020716
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Email of the dataset creator cohesse@pik-potsdam.de
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