Comparison of Water Flows in Four European Lagoon Catchments under a Set of Future Climate Scenarios

Climate change is supposed to remarkably affect the water resources of coastal lagoons as they are highly vulnerable to changes occurring at their catchment and/or ocean or sea boundaries. Probable impacts of projected climate changes on catchment hydrology and freshwater input were assessed using the eco-hydrological model SWIM (Soil and Water Integrated Model) for the drainage areas of four European lagoons: Ria de Aveiro (Portugal), Mar Menor (Spain), Tyligulskyi Liman (Ukraine) and Vistula Lagoon (Poland/Russia) under a set of 15 climate scenarios covering the time period until the year 2100. Climate change signals for all regions show continuously increasing trends in temperature, but various trends in precipitation. Precipitation is projected to decrease in two catchments on the Iberian Peninsula and increase in the Baltic region catchment, and does not show a clear trend in the catchment located near the Black Sea. The average projected changes in freshwater inputs reflect these changes in climate conditions, but often show variability between the scenarios, in future periods, and within the catchments. According to the individual degrees of water management influences in the four drainage basins, the climate sensitivity of river inflows is differently pronounced in each.

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Hesse C. Stefanova A. y Krysanova V. Comparison of Water Flows in Four European Lagoon Catchments under a Set of Future Climate Scenarios. MDPI, 2015. https://doi.org/10.3390/w7020716

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Tipo de recurso Artículo
Fecha de creación 05-11-2024
Fecha de última modificación 05-11-2024
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Identificador de los metadatos 78dcfd7b-bf33-5bbe-a2f0-e1282fb6ad16
Idioma de los metadatos Español
Temáticas (NTI-RISP)
Categoría del conjunto de alto valor (HVD) Observación de la Tierra y medio ambiente
Categoría temática ISO 19115 biota
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Nombre del autor Hesse, C., Stefanova, A. y Krysanova, V.
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Identificador alternativo DOI: 10.3390/w7020716
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Email del autor cohesse@pik-potsdam.de
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